Superpower in Incubator

China could be a future world Superpower and the Robin hood of poor nations, as it is growing in multiple fronts with the firm roots in their own culture. China is now challenging all present superpowers on multiple fronts. They are increasing their foot prints all over the world, making heavy investments in Africa and Central Asian countries under OROB, and influencing other nation to adopt their language and culture.

The impetus of China is so large that in Africa an old alley of west African countries, FRANCE, had to make ties with China for engagement in the region and US has to lure their NATO alley, such as Italy, as they are also drifting towards China's OROB. Today's China is a wealthy magnet, which is utilizing its strength by attracting developing/under developed nations. This make China more influential in Inter governmental organisations such as United Nations and will able to control trade routs of the world.

Few days back, China has made a military base at one of the islands of the Cambodia, however, Cambodian constitution does not allow for the same. US had warned Cambodia but they had indulged with China on multiple fronts, hence could not refuse the offer. With this China has grown its presence in one more country.  China had already captured Sri Lanka's Hambantota port and a military base at Djibouti, Africa. They are dominating the South sea and the presence is much more than any other nation in Central Asia.

But now the Question is, Will it be enough to be a super power? China is lacking in some fronts such as defense equipment manufacturing, Genetic research and development etc. To cover all such aspect China has to rely on other nations. China being communist Country does not gain trust of many important nations, therefore they don't have a strong alley base. China has its border dispute with 18 of its neighboring countries and has several other disputes with prominent nations such as Japan, India, Taiwan etc. China will not be a super power without its loyal alleys and peaceful borders, therefore China needs to build strong ties with developing/large nations such as Australia, India and Russia.

One more question arise is that, What US and other super powers are doing to counter China? The superpower US, France, UK and Germany are not united in many fronts. They were initially ignorant towards China's growth and now they don't have that niche to control over China's growth.  These nations are indulged with other nations and don't have such focus to counter China. US is indulge in Afghanistan, Syria, North Korea and Iran, UK is indulge in BREXIT, France & Germany is indulged in their own nationalist movements. These nations are heavily dependent on other nations such as Australia, Japan and India but these nations have their own issues and commitments. India being a neutral state by its history, does not alien its foreign policy towards US or China. Australia on the other hand has deep ties with United States and high trade with China, therefore it would be impossible for a nation to alien with any of them and damaging either of its security ties or trade with the nations. However, Japan has very deep ties with US but Japan alone will not be enough to control over China.

Here comes the opportunity for China, If China could solve issues with its neighboring giants such as India, that will boost Indo-China relation much beyond. China also have to make strong ties with Russia. As by improving relation with Russia, China will get easy excess to earlier Soviet Countries. With the support of India and Russia - China can led the world for the next coming decades.

To the ultimate combination of world dominance potential, recently Mr. Trump had added a spark to the fuel. US president has recently pushed India into an uncomfortable zone by stating that Indian Prime Minister has asked Mr. Trump to be an Arbitrator/mediator between India and Pakistan on Kashmir issue. India has always made a clear stand that Kashmir is an bilateral issue and no third party is invited but poking nose in an Indian issue will give a new direction to it. 

As US is withdrawing its ties with Turkey, a NATO ally, by cancelling its deal of manufacturing of F-35 fighter aircraft, just because Turkey has bought S-400 Missile defense system from Russia and has inclination towards Russia. Then it can be considered that India would be the next target for US.  US has already initiated a trade war with India by imposing tariff to Indian steal and aluminium products and removing special status of India. Indian govt. always maintain a stance of non-alignment with any of the super power but in present scenario India was inclined towards US and was giving equal of more preference to Indo-US relation over any other bilateral relations. India was also the part of Quad Group and JAI group (Japan, America, India) which are formed to counter China in the Indian ocean region.

But after all potential threats form US under Mr. Trump, India will definitely look for an alternate option and China has the potential to fill the gap. I personally feel China has more potential to bring India and Pakistan on a table and bring out some solution on Kashmir because

      i.            All three nation meet on an annual event of SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organisation),

ii.                  China has the possession of Aksai chin and the land gifted by Pakistan,

iii.                China is developing infra structure project in POK,

iv.                 China is keen to include India under OROB,

v.                   Pakistan is under debt trap of China,

vi.                 India would be happy to resolve all border dispute with China
vii.         Indian Economy will get boost under well negotiated OROB,
viii.        China need bigger market for upcoming product such as 5G.

These are enough reasons for China to pursue the issue of mediation with India and Pakistan and in this deal, India would have an upper hand over Pakistan. But it won’t be that simple. India knows that Indo-US relation is beyond the Trump’s regime and will definitely won’t lose such a super power alley. Also, India had a bad experience with China in Yr.1962, when India pass their offer of UN security council permanent seat to China and in return China started war on India on the issue of Dalai Lama. India would not fall in that trap again. But India can definitely aspect to get a positive outcome from the deal if it happens, India can resolve their issue of Azad Kashmir, Arunachal Pradesh border dispute, and handing over of Hafiz Sayeed and Masood Azar to India. In return, India may accept to be part of OROB and accept to start dialog and trade with Pakistan.

A peaceful South Asia is a need for all.

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